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☆ Why Trump Seems Less Vulnerable on Abortion Than Other Republicans
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Ruth Igielnik | More About Ruth Igielnik | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Voters who want abortion to be “mostly legal” are about twice as likely to say they are making voting decisions based on economic issues over social issues like abortion. The share of voters who prioritize economic issues over social issues has increased by more than 12 percentage points in favor of the economy since the 2022 election, according to Times polling in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona. Still, he says he plans to vote for Mr. Trump again because of his economic policies and concerns about the Biden administration’s foreign policy. Mr. Trump has been on many sides of the abortion issue over the years. Recently, he took full credit on his social media platform for being the one who ended the constitutional right to abortion in America: “I was able to kill Roe v. Wade.”

Persons: Joel Graham, it’s, Trump, ”, Roe, Wade Organizations: Supreme, Mr, Biden, Reform Party Locations: Ohio, Pennsylvania , Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, Grant County, Wis, America

Both Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump are viewed unfavorably by a majority of voters in these states, one-fifth of voters don’t like either of them, and enthusiasm about the coming election is down sharply compared with a poll conducted before the 2020 contest. That frustration and malaise have prompted voters to entertain the idea of other options. When asked about the likeliest 2024 matchup, Mr. Biden versus Mr. Trump, only 2 percent of those polled said they would support another candidate. But when Mr. Kennedy’s name was included as an option, nearly a quarter said they would choose him. That number almost surely inflates the support of Mr. Kennedy, the political scion and vaccine skeptic, because two-thirds of those who said they would back him had said earlier that they would definitely or probably vote for one of the two front-runners.

Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Mr, Kennedy Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College

The polls found that, for the most part, Mr. Trump is politically surviving the criminal charges against him before voting in the G.O.P. He leads Mr. Biden by between 4 and 10 percentage points in five of the six battleground states surveyed. A majority of voters say Mr. Trump’s policies helped them personally. Voters trust Mr. Trump more than Mr. Biden to manage the economy by a margin of 22 percentage points. On the economy, Mr. Trump is more trusted across every age group, among white and Hispanic voters and across the educational spectrum.

Persons: Trump, Mr, Biden, they’ve, — Organizations: White Locations: Wisconsin

☆ Americans Still Put Their Trust in Juries. Will Trump’s Trials Break That Faith?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Ruth Igielnik | More About Ruth Igielnik | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

And those jurors will, no doubt, face intense scrutiny, which for many is reason enough to not want to serve. In fact, a majority of Americans said they were not personally interested in serving on a jury for Mr. Trump. The demographics of those who have served also differ notably from those of the general public. Two thirds of those who have served on a jury are over 50, compared with less than half of the general public. Former jurors skew slightly more Democratic than all Americans, and men are more likely than women to have served.

Persons: Trump

☆ These Voters Share Almost No Political Beliefs, but They Agree on One Thing: We’re Failing as a Nation
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-19 | by ( Ruth Igielnik | More About Ruth Igielnik | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Why Republicans say the U.S. is in danger of failingRepublican fatalists, much like Republican voters overall, overwhelmingly support Donald J. Trump. This group is largely older — two-thirds of Republicans over 65 say the country is on the verge of failure — and less educated. They are also more likely than Republican voters overall to get their news from non-Fox conservative media sources like Newsmax or The Epoch Times. Many of these gloomy Republican see the Biden administration’s policies as pushing the country to the verge of collapse. “The first day Biden became president he ripped up everything good that happened with Trump; he opened the border — let everyone and anyone in.

Persons: fatalists, Donald J, ”, Margo Creamer, “, Biden, Trump, It’s, we’re Organizations: Republican, Trump, Fox, Epoch Times, Biden, Republicans Locations: Southern California

President Biden is heading into the 2024 presidential contest on firmer footing than a year ago, with his approval rating inching upward and once-doubtful Democrats falling into line behind his re-election bid, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll. Mr. Biden appears to have escaped the political danger zone he resided in last year, when nearly two-thirds of his party wanted a different nominee. Now, Democrats have broadly accepted him as their standard-bearer, even if half would prefer someone else. Perhaps most worryingly for Democrats, the poll found Mr. Biden in a neck-and-neck race with former President Donald J. Trump, who held a commanding lead among likely Republican primary voters even as he faces two criminal indictments and more potential charges on the horizon. Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump were tied at 43 percent apiece in a hypothetical rematch in 2024, according to the poll.

Persons: Biden, Mr, Donald J, Trump Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Democrats, Republican

So far, however, having reservations about Mr. Trump’s alleged wrongdoing does not appear to be leading Republican voters to reconsider their support for him. Views of Mr. Trump have long been remarkably stable, and the public’s views of his potential criminality are no exception. About half of all voters say they think he has committed serious federal crimes, nearly identical to the share that held that view last year. Much like the overall public, Democrats have held firm in their views on Mr. Trump: Nearly 90 percent of Democrats consistently say they think Mr. Trump has committed serious federal crimes. To be sure, nearly 75 percent of Republicans still say Mr. Trump did not commit any serious federal crimes.

Persons: Trump’s, Trump Organizations: Republican, Times, Democrats Locations: Manhattan, Siena, Iowa

Even though Democrats held off a widely expected red wave in the 2022 midterm elections, Republican turnout was in fact stronger, and the party energized key demographic groups including women, Latinos and rural voters, according to a report released Wednesday by the Pew Research Center. The report serves as a warning sign for Democrats ahead of the 2024 presidential election, with early polls pointing toward a possible rematch between President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump. People who had voted in past elections but sat out 2022 were overwhelmingly Democrats. And for all the Democratic emphasis on finding Republican voters who could be persuaded to buck their party in the Trump era, Pew found that a vast majority of voters stuck with the same party through the 2018, 2020 and 2022 elections. Just 6 percent of voters cast ballots for more than one party over those three elections — and those voters were more likely to be Democrats flipping to Republican candidates than Republicans to Democratic candidates.

Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, Pew Organizations: Republican, Pew Research Center, Pew, Democratic, Republicans

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